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This is not 2008. That statement may seem obvious. But partisans looking for an advantage in the run-up to the election insist on using the last presidential election as a baseline (Republicans) or an outlier (Democrats) for 2012. This is nonsense. Four years ago in Nevada, Democrats were an ebullient bunch. Thanks to Democrat Numero Uno, Harry Reid, they had secured an early presidential caucus, registered 30,000 people in one day and were infused with the spirit of hope and change. The...
Update: Latest statewide numbers show just how close Washoe is -- 315 votes separate the parties -- and how robustly the rurals continue to turn out. Democrats still have a 35,000-vote statewide lead, or 6 percentage points. Here are the latest numbers. ---- If you had any doubts that 2012 is not 2008, doubt no more. The Democrats survived two consecutive days of early voting sites being in GOP-friendly territory by extending their lead in Clark County to more than 50,000 voters. (Statewide,...
  Nobody knows better than I the mischief that the Gang of 63 can create in Carson City, if given half a chance. Or 120 days. So the idea to allow lawmakers to have the latitude to call themselves back to the capital for fun, games and an occasional meaningful bill scares me as much as anyone. But it’s still the right thing to do, and I’m going to vote for Question 1 on the ballot. Let me tell you why: The balance of power in Nevada is out of whack. And it has been for a long time. The governor...
Gov. Brian Sandoval, the most popular elected official in Nevada, has cut a TV ad for Mitt Romney, whom he embraced late in the game but is now all in for the GOP nominee. Sandoval, who has been in recent Romney mailers, says in the ad that President Obama's policies "haven't helped. They've hurt us, and they're holding us back." Sandoval's good-soldier routine is a long time coming, partially hastened no doubt by his top adviser's prediction that Obama would win the state. Sandoval, who is no...
That Sherm Frederick is a bitter old man after his cashiering two years ago is not in question. After "leading" the Las Vegas Review-Journal into the journalistic swamp, with complicity from underlings, Frederick's obsessive crusade against Harry Reid ended shortly after its failure when he was suddenly no longer an executive with the paper. Since then, he has been allowed to continue as a columnist and blogger -- what does he have on the parent company execs? -- spewing regular venom toward...
UPDATE NO. 2 -- So I have data that quantifies how the GOP did so well in early voting Monday. Take a look at this chart:   Site    Dem                NP          Rep       Total     Margin Sun City Aliante 618 317 713 1648 -95 Desert Vista 543 328 981 1852 -438 Moapa Valley 252 185 834 1271 -582 Boulder City 533 288 920 1741 -387 Sun City Anthem 461 353 822 1636 -361 Total 2407 1471 4270 8148 -1863     So...
President Obama is leading Mitt Romney by 6 points in Nevada and Sen. Dean Heller has a 1-point lead over Rep. Shelley Berkley, according to a new poll taken over the weekend. The survey, conducted by Democratic pollster Lisa Grove for Project New America/US Action, was of 500 likely voters on Saturday and Sunday. The margin of error is 4.4 percentage points. (I have seen the poll but was not given permission to post it.) Obama is up 49 percent to 43 percent in the survey. Among the 23 percent...
It occurred to me while talking to a reporter from CBS News about the election that Nevada is potentially anomalous in two races of national import: 1. How in the world in a state with arguably the worst economy in the country is the president even close, much less ahead? Mitt Roimney should be winning by double digits in a state where the unemployment rate is 50 percent higher than the national average and the housing boom turned into a housing implosion? Answer: The Democratic machine and the...
That's how you answered the site poll. It wasn't close: 57 percent of you said Gov. Brian Sandoval will run for the U.S. Senate in 2016 -- either against Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, or someone else if Reid retires. More than 400 people participated. Very sceintific. A new poll is up about the president's margin in Clark County.      
Turnout slowed on Sunday in Clark County, with only about 24,000 people going to the polls and the Democrats adding fewer voters (3,000) to their lead than any day so far. So five days of early voting left and the state of play: The Democrats have a lead, but not one that guarantees victory for President Obama. Republicans, though, have to be worried about Washoe County, where the Democrats have been building a small lead -- it's about 1,600 votes or so now. Republicans will win Election Day...

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