by Jon Ralston Wed, 10/31/2012 - 06:20
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Not bad. t.co/Acm7KK5Mop
3 weeks 2 days ago.
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IndyMatters is on hiatus, but @TheNVIndy never is.... t.co/gDFepnSnMp
3 weeks 2 days ago.
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It's amazing that someone could have an unbroken record of saying dumb or vacuous things every time he opens his mo… t.co/gCA3ywSxkb
3 weeks 2 days ago.
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Just finished moderating an enjoyable post-session panel at the state Bar meeting in Vail with @SheaBackusEsq,… t.co/Sp9oI2Keff
3 weeks 2 days ago.
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He just has a different way of dealing with it than a destructive, insidious phrase.
This is so repellent. t.co/qrkgD05dBN
3 weeks 2 days ago.
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"In June, the state’s largest utility announced, for the first time, that it would consider temporarily cutting off… t.co/Fh3kxHRejb
3 weeks 2 days ago.
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@JordanaMcCudden I have expressed my thoughts. No idea. Too early.
3 weeks 2 days ago.
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This was a real legislative failure this year. It's just ridiculous that this has not been addressed. Authorize a s… t.co/BL3rzNZ0OV
3 weeks 2 days ago.
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You should read this about @KamalaHarris by one of the best political reporters in the country and one who happens… t.co/P1cYjAdAOj
3 weeks 2 days ago.
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It's June 27, 2019, folks.
The only debate that matters....
Oh, nevermind.
3 weeks 2 days ago.
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Final thoughts (as I said last night, my opinion, not how voters will react because I have no clue):
Harris breaks… t.co/H1fP5Wqvuq
3 weeks 2 days ago.
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I just pray Williamson does not have Melisandre's powers.
3 weeks 2 days ago.
Update: Latest statewide numbers show just how close Washoe is -- 315 votes separate the parties -- and how robustly the rurals continue to turn out. Democrats still have a 35,000-vote statewide lead, or 6 percentage points. Here are the latest numbers.
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If you had any doubts that 2012 is not 2008, doubt no more.
The Democrats survived two consecutive days of early voting sites being in GOP-friendly territory by extending their lead in Clark County to more than 50,000 voters. (Statewide, the Republicans actually turned out more voters than the Democrats on Monday.) The wave of 2008 has become a high tide of 2012 -- dangerous to the GOP, but, perhaps, not fatal.
There are still three days left for the Democrats to solidfy their firewall, but they will not get to 83,000 (the 2008 lead), nor will they get to the 12,000-voter lead in Washoe County, where the Democrats have a 500-vote early/mail lead (absentees not in yet all counted in Washoe) out of about 80,000 votes cast. I still think the Democrats have an advantage unless Mitt Romney is winning independents by 20 points or more -- and depending on just how large Election Day turnout is for Republicans. My guess is Democratic Party strategists feel good, but not quite secure.
The polls I trust still show the president ahead by a few points, so that tells me Obama is holding his own among indies, which is the key to the election now. The last three days of '08 had the biggest turnout, so we'll see if that pattern holds.
The Clark numbers (early/mail):
Democrats -- 175,715, or 48 percent
Republicans -- 124,176, or 34 percent
Others -- 67,665, or 18 percent
So the turnout relative to the registration lead (15 points) now slightly favors the Republicans. Those actual numbers: Democratic turnout is 45 percent, and GOP turnout is just above 47 percent. So the Republican turnout edge could well be 3 points or so in Clark by the end of early/mail voting, which could mean it gets to 5 or more after Election Day.
That's not enough to make up for the Democratic registration edge, but if independents vote overwhelmingly for Romney, could there be a Nov. 6 surprise?
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