by Jon Ralston Wed, 10/31/2012 - 06:20
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Against the death penalty.
Against private prisons.
Against cash bail.
For a $12 minimum wage.
For gun background c… t.co/sTz2Pw79XP
1 hour 30 min ago.
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We loved having all those students there last night. Added so much to the event. Thanks to all the high schoolers a… t.co/9sMWuYn7VM
3 hours 10 min ago.
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I want a movie called "House Has Fallen" where Gerard Butler finds a way to break into the chamber on Jan. 29 so th… t.co/wtQ01hnTdu
3 hours 44 min ago.
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Hopping on a plane soon to go up for the launch party of @SJSpotlight, where I will be speaking about how nonprofit… t.co/qkQgAplMwP
4 hours 49 min ago.
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So many @Lis_Smith stab wounds (and ceaseless mocking, which hurts more). t.co/ZcnXf2R386
5 hours 42 min ago.
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@OyVegas @GovSisolak @TheNVIndy Thanks, my friend!
5 hours 47 min ago.
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A quick note of thanks to the hundreds of folks who attended our #IndyTalks last night w/@GovSisolak. The… t.co/3dvvE1gtGG
5 hours 52 min ago.
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Another in our ongoing series of profiles of #nvleg frosh..... t.co/LuHbCmODcA
6 hours 31 min ago.
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Yep. t.co/iOr7buIM0u
7 hours 7 min ago.
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@natalie_okeson @meganmesserly @MichelleRindels @TheNVIndy Thanks, pal! I'll take 1% of Omiydar money!
7 hours 43 min ago.
Update: Latest statewide numbers show just how close Washoe is -- 315 votes separate the parties -- and how robustly the rurals continue to turn out. Democrats still have a 35,000-vote statewide lead, or 6 percentage points. Here are the latest numbers.
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If you had any doubts that 2012 is not 2008, doubt no more.
The Democrats survived two consecutive days of early voting sites being in GOP-friendly territory by extending their lead in Clark County to more than 50,000 voters. (Statewide, the Republicans actually turned out more voters than the Democrats on Monday.) The wave of 2008 has become a high tide of 2012 -- dangerous to the GOP, but, perhaps, not fatal.
There are still three days left for the Democrats to solidfy their firewall, but they will not get to 83,000 (the 2008 lead), nor will they get to the 12,000-voter lead in Washoe County, where the Democrats have a 500-vote early/mail lead (absentees not in yet all counted in Washoe) out of about 80,000 votes cast. I still think the Democrats have an advantage unless Mitt Romney is winning independents by 20 points or more -- and depending on just how large Election Day turnout is for Republicans. My guess is Democratic Party strategists feel good, but not quite secure.
The polls I trust still show the president ahead by a few points, so that tells me Obama is holding his own among indies, which is the key to the election now. The last three days of '08 had the biggest turnout, so we'll see if that pattern holds.
The Clark numbers (early/mail):
Democrats -- 175,715, or 48 percent
Republicans -- 124,176, or 34 percent
Others -- 67,665, or 18 percent
So the turnout relative to the registration lead (15 points) now slightly favors the Republicans. Those actual numbers: Democratic turnout is 45 percent, and GOP turnout is just above 47 percent. So the Republican turnout edge could well be 3 points or so in Clark by the end of early/mail voting, which could mean it gets to 5 or more after Election Day.
That's not enough to make up for the Democratic registration edge, but if independents vote overwhelmingly for Romney, could there be a Nov. 6 surprise?
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