by Jon Ralston Mon, 10/29/2012 - 15:47
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"Sandoval made the comments to an unidentified reporter in a recording obtained by the Review-Journal."
#journalism t.co/LYaCLWao2q
8 hours 2 min ago.
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Lots of interesting arguments in this minimum wage increase hearing going on right now in #nvleg. But only one person matters: @GovSandoval.
11 hours 10 min ago.
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Updated story with relatively muted @RobersonForNV reaction to @MManendo being stripped of chairmanship. t.co/0GxlJOsi7P
11 hours 29 min ago.
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"in no event shall certification to practice under (Supreme Court Rule 49.8) remain in effect longer than two years… t.co/lT8L49IT5P
11 hours 55 min ago.
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Good for @NvDornan for birddogging this story of dep AGs who haven't passed NV Bar. We first reported it here:… t.co/d1nIIwdFth
11 hours 59 min ago.
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Amazing: Four NV Supreme Court justices ignore plain reading of rule, allow two dep AGs extension on passing Bar. t.co/9gjDLA1TQ4
12 hours 1 min ago.
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12 hours 6 min ago.
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This is the bill that passed right before @AaronDFordNV announced he was stripping @MManendo, accused of abusing wo… t.co/cLKe2pi33C
13 hours 58 min ago.
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"....I want to make it clear that I am not passing judgment at this time," says @AaronDFordNV after asking @MManendo to step down as chair.
14 hours 15 min ago.
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Comes with only two weeks left in session, many women having talked to independent investigator, others still want… t.co/iVEHPu1oMd
14 hours 18 min ago.
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Quick work by Team @TheNVIndy: Our story on @AaronDFordNV pressuring Sen. @MManendo to step down from chairmanship. t.co/8JD9o2dNfv
14 hours 19 min ago.
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Must have damaging info back from investigator. Many of women who gave info won't be satisfied, will want censure/e… t.co/oumlDGFi01
14 hours 31 min ago.
President Obama is leading Mitt Romney by 6 points in Nevada and Sen. Dean Heller has a 1-point lead over Rep. Shelley Berkley, according to a new poll taken over the weekend.
The survey, conducted by Democratic pollster Lisa Grove for Project New America/US Action, was of 500 likely voters on Saturday and Sunday. The margin of error is 4.4 percentage points. (I have seen the poll but was not given permission to post it.)
Obama is up 49 percent to 43 percent in the survey. Among the 23 percent who answered they had voted early, Obama has an 8 percentage point edge. (The Democratic statewide edge in early/mail ballots is about 8 percentage points.)
Obama is leading Romney among independents in the poll by 51 percent to 40 percent. If that sub-group number is accurate, Romney is dead in Nevada.
In the U.S. Senate race, Heller is up, 44 percent to 43 percent. Among those who have voted early, Berkley leads, 45-43. If this is true, it's going to be a long night Tuesday. Recount anyone?
A couple of notes on the sample for Republicans already wailing this is a Democratic poll:
The partisan breakdown is: 36 percent of the sample are registered Republicans, 42 percent are registered Democrats, and 23 percent are not affiliated with either party. The Democrats actually have a 7 percent registration lead, so this assumes a slight GOP turnout advantage. Looks as if they will need a much bigger one to turn these numbers around.
Grove also has only 12 percent Hispanics in the mix. That would seem to be a low estimate. I have heard some pessimistic Democrats say it may not get to 15 percent again, but it's hard to argue that 12 percent is anything but a very conservative estimate.
Bottom line: Grove has done work in Nevada and knows the state. While any pollster can produce bad data, if this one is right, there is almost no way for Romney to win Nevada.
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