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Dean Heller would win by 1 percentage point. The president would win Nevada again. Steven Horsford would defy the polls.
"Genius" is a word that is thrown around too easily these days....
In case you missed my predictions, they are here. My only real failing: I believed in the Democratic machine, but didn't realize the potency it would have down the ticket.
The scorecard:
President: I said 50-46. It was 52-46. That's pretty close and certainly within the margin of error.
U.S. Senate: I said 49-...
I wonder, as she was riding in a gondola down the Grand Canal four years ago, perhaps gazing up at her luxury (but discounted) room, if Rep. Shelley Berkley ever thought: “This might be a problem.”
I doubt it.
But that congressional trip, which she led, with that ill-fated Venezia sojourn, may have cost her a chance at a U.S. Senate seat. Or not.
Berkley’s campaign clearly thought this ad, which falsely implied she had charged taxpayers $55,000 for an Italian vacation with her husband, hurt her...
I tend to shy away from the “look at what we learned” thumbsuckers the day after an election.
Overall themes often obscure underlying dynamics of individual races. The obvious often mashes the subtle. The results tell a story, but usually only part of it.
There is a lot to say about what happened in Nevada on Tuesday – today and later – but only a few things are crystal clear:
1. Registration matters
2. The Republican Party is irrelevant
3. The Hispanic vote here is a growing and...
No human has more chutzpah than Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, and he showed it again this morning during a DC gaggle with reporters.
Here is his exchange with the Las Vegas Review-Journal's capital reporter, Steve Tetreault:
QUESTION: Senator Reid, how do you plan to reset your
relationship with Senator Heller now that the campaign is over? And
do you think the two of you can work together...
REID: Dean Heller and I have been friends for 25 years. In a
difficult election I had in 19...
A handy guide for Election Night:
Remember 70 percent of the vote will be known very early in the evening. Although we don't yet know what Election Day turnout will be like -- I estimate about 300,000 people will vote, about two-thirds in Clark County -- we will know some thing pretty early.
----Clark: When the first early/mail results are posted (we hope, before 8 PM) of the 57 percent who have voted in the South, see if President Obama has more than a 60,000-vote lead. (Democrats have a 71,...