Rasmussen: Sandoval, 55 percent; Goodman, 28 percent

Gov. Brian Sandoval leads Democrat Bob Goodman by 27 percentage points, according to a Rasmussen Reports survey.

Hey, it's Rasmussen, which notoriously tilts Republican, so maybe Goodman actually is closer, and, and, and....

Oh, nevermind.

Bob Goodman, by the way, remains in Asia.


UPDATED, 2:15 PM: Some favorable/unfavorable numbers in the survey.

Sandoval: 69/25

Harry Reid: 36/59

Dean Heller: 49/42

And on approval/disapproval:

President Obama: 44/53

Sandoval: 64/28

The Heller number really surprised me. He has until 2018, but those are very bad numbers. Not corpse-like as Reid's are, but seriously injured.

By the way, the crosstabs show the sample is favorable to Republicans, as I suspected. 35 percent Democrat; 33 percent, Republican. Actual D margin is 6 points, but GOP turnout advantage could make this model not far off this cycle, if not next. Hispanics were at 15 percent of the sample, which may be a tad low.

The Rasmussen summary:

  • Sandoval picks up 55% support to former State Economic Development Commissioner Robert Goodman’s 28%, according to a new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Nevada Voters. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, while 11% are undecided.
  • Sandoval, who defeated Senator Harry Reid’s son Rory in the 2010 gubernatorial race with 53% of the vote, easily won his party’s June 10 primary with 90% of the vote. The state Democratic primary that same day had a somewhat demoralizing outcome, with Goodman picking up 25% of the vote, running second to the 30% who chose “none of these candidates.”
  • This helps explain why 86% of Nevada Republicans support Sandoval, but only 60% of Democrats back Goodman. One-in-four Democrats (24%) support the GOP incumbent. Voters not affiliated with either major political party favor Sandoval by a 56% to 17% margin.
  • Sixty-four percent (64%) of Nevada voters approve of the job Sandoval is doing as governor, including 21% who Strongly Approve. Twenty-eight percent (28%) disapprove, but that includes just nine percent (9%) who Strongly Disapprove.
  • Although he ran twice for lieutenant governor, Goodman is at a disadvantage when it comes to name recognition: 34% of Nevada voters have never heard of him. Eight percent (8%) regard the Democrat Very Favorably, while 11% view him Very Unfavorably. For the very well-known Sandoval, Very Favorable opinions are at 28%, while Very Unfavorable ones are at seven percent (7%).
  • For comparison, 22% of Nevada voters have a Very Favorable impression of Harry Reid, while 47% view the Senate majority leader Very Unfavorably. Nevada voters have a more negative impression of the longtime Democratic senator than voters on the national level do.  Fifteen percent (15%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Republican Dean Heller who is his first full-term in the Senate, while 19% view him Very Unfavorably.