by Jon Ralston Wed, 10/17/2012 - 16:02
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Love the super for @adamlaxalt -- so apt: "Hitting the Ground Suing." How many times can Doocy say, "Surely," after a Laxalt answer?
9 hours 10 min ago.
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General @adamlaxalt gets hostile, withering questions treatment that Fox & Friends is known for. Prepare yourself. t.co/zZM3WnLub3
9 hours 11 min ago.
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Are the votes there to vote out SB119? Chairman Ellison tells me: "I don't know. It looked pretty split to me." No vote for at least a week.
9 hours 39 min ago.
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@RightWingJunky @chuckmuth You are clever, Assemblyman Jones. Why be anonymous?
9 hours 56 min ago.
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And....here comes the pre-written Assembly Dems release. BU WHAT ABOUT THE SCHOOLS??? t.co/mkJ7FDHsKa
10 hours 7 min ago.
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Prevailing wage/bond rollover hearing done. No vote. Everything is as settled now as it was before the hearing.
10 hours 11 min ago.
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Labor shill @SteveRossLV, who is a LV city councilman in his off time, testifies against the prevailing wage. Says strip out and kill.
10 hours 14 min ago.
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The AGA is connected! And it's office sounds cool. t.co/29LVYeCD2N
10 hours 37 min ago.
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@Moore4Nevada false choice.
10 hours 38 min ago.
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RT @jgeddes: @RalstonReports Reminds me of Dems attaching school funding to taxes in 2003.//Had forgotten. Yes.
10 hours 39 min ago.
President Obama leads Mitt Romney by 7 percentage points in Nevada, according to a new survey by Democratic pollster Lisa Grove taken this week.
The poll, for Project New America, found Obama up 50-43, a few points larger than today's Rasmussen Reports poll (with a bizarre sample) that showed 50-47, Obama.
Republicans may discount the survey because of its Democratic trappings. But I have seen the instrument (memo linked here), the party/gender weighting looks right and Grove has done work in Nevada before.
The poll actually has a low Hispanic sample, which is very ominous for the GOP. My guess: Based on the Democratic registration surge and other data I have seen, a 6- or 7-point lead for the president makes sense -- at least now.
Highlights:
-President Obama's lead is largely a result of a formidable gender gap. While he's tied among men, he leads among women voters 54%-40%. This lead will be difficult for Mitt Romney to overcome with just a few weeks before election day.
-Nevadans are more likely to believe that Romney, not Obama, will raise taxes on the middle class. This is usually a point of strength for Republicans, but Obama has made this an advantage.
·Obama’s edge can be explained by his advantage on several key traits. By 11%, Nevada voters are more likely to believe that Obama, not Romney "fights for people like you." By 6%, Nevada voters are more likely to trust Obama more than Romney to a decision based on what is right for the country in the long term, not just for today.
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