by Jon Ralston Thu, 09/27/2012 - 16:17
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"Sandoval made the comments to an unidentified reporter in a recording obtained by the Review-Journal."
#journalism t.co/LYaCLWao2q
8 hours 1 min ago.
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Lots of interesting arguments in this minimum wage increase hearing going on right now in #nvleg. But only one person matters: @GovSandoval.
11 hours 9 min ago.
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Updated story with relatively muted @RobersonForNV reaction to @MManendo being stripped of chairmanship. t.co/0GxlJOsi7P
11 hours 29 min ago.
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"in no event shall certification to practice under (Supreme Court Rule 49.8) remain in effect longer than two years… t.co/lT8L49IT5P
11 hours 55 min ago.
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Good for @NvDornan for birddogging this story of dep AGs who haven't passed NV Bar. We first reported it here:… t.co/d1nIIwdFth
11 hours 58 min ago.
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Amazing: Four NV Supreme Court justices ignore plain reading of rule, allow two dep AGs extension on passing Bar. t.co/9gjDLA1TQ4
12 hours 41 sec ago.
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12 hours 5 min ago.
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This is the bill that passed right before @AaronDFordNV announced he was stripping @MManendo, accused of abusing wo… t.co/cLKe2pi33C
13 hours 57 min ago.
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"....I want to make it clear that I am not passing judgment at this time," says @AaronDFordNV after asking @MManendo to step down as chair.
14 hours 15 min ago.
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Comes with only two weeks left in session, many women having talked to independent investigator, others still want… t.co/iVEHPu1oMd
14 hours 17 min ago.
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Quick work by Team @TheNVIndy: Our story on @AaronDFordNV pressuring Sen. @MManendo to step down from chairmanship. t.co/8JD9o2dNfv
14 hours 18 min ago.
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Must have damaging info back from investigator. Many of women who gave info won't be satisfied, will want censure/e… t.co/oumlDGFi01
14 hours 30 min ago.
In results sure to confuse/infuriate/thrill partisans, the fourth poll on Nevada released this week shows President Obama up by 2 points over Mitt Romney among likely voters and Sen. Dean Heller up 6 points over Rep. Shelley Berkley.
The NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist survey -- I have posted the entire Nevada poll below -- also shows that among registered voters, Obama is up 7 and Heller is up 4. Registered voters can be more reliable in a presidential year when turnout is 80 percent-plus.
Compared to other polls released this week -- ones by POS, ARG and PPP -- the NBC poll has a much larger sample (984 likely, 1,308 registered) and the demographics actually seem to be very close to what they should be -- although the Hispanic sample may be slightly high (20 percent). The partisan and regional breakdowns are good.
Some of the key numbers:
Obama-Romney: 49-47 and 51-44
Heller-Berkley: 49-43, 48-44
Obama: 50-47, favorable/unfavorable
Romney: 45-48, favorable-unfavorable
Those favorabble/unfavorable numbers don't bode well for Romney, on one hand, but also suggest that even if some people don't like the GOP nominee, they still will vote against the president.
Some interesting information from the crosstabs, which are here:
Obama is up by only 7 in Clark County and Berkley tied in Clark County among likely voters? Those seem low for both of them. Obama is ahead by 11 in Clark among registered voters, which seems more reasonable. The Washoe numbers are odd -- Obama up by 12 among likely and 18 (!) among registered voters there. More in Washoe than in Clark? Not likely. Both seem high, and would seem to indicate the rurals are given too much weight, perhaps.
It also would seem Heller is up by more than 5 in Washoe (2 among registered voters) -- if he's not, that's trouble.
I know Democrats here fell pretty confident about where Obama is -- they think he is up more -- and less so about Berkley -- they think she is close but perhaps not ahead. So if you take the registered voter numbers here, they pretty much match what I have been hearing about the race from those who have seen data I trust.
But check out the numbers in detail for yourself in the pdf below.
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