by Jon Ralston Thu, 10/25/2012 - 16:21
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@AnjeanetteDamon "The state also opted to allow Northshore to continue providing rapid antigen tests to the public… t.co/VKICI9gpvp
17 hours 17 min ago.
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@AnjeanetteDamon Yes, there was a holiday weekend, but the gov or anyone else did not call a presser to announce wh… t.co/mAaMu4GiEe
17 hours 17 min ago.
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@AnjeanetteDamon "NV's own internal documents, however, indicate Northshore voluntarily stopped PCR testing days be… t.co/VMwpzcM6Nk
17 hours 19 min ago.
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Not much happening in Nevada in the aftermath of this bombshell besides more probing by journos and damage control… t.co/U8L2jvEp4v
17 hours 20 min ago.
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@joeygilbertinc @NVGOP This was the local NPR affiliate, FYI.
17 hours 42 min ago.
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Have never heard this on NPR: Before it played an interview with gov hopeful @joeygilbertinc, darling of @NVGOP, th… t.co/Yqu47KsadQ
17 hours 47 min ago.
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It never ceases to amaze me how many smart people are so dumb about trans issues.
Pro tip: Try meeting trans peopl… t.co/Bx51l8PmxG
18 hours 16 min ago.
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I learned from politicians to stay on message!
And, thanks, @BerggrenCRE! t.co/uijl4oyJU5
18 hours 20 min ago.
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Veteran legislator leaves -- too familiar story for Carson City, where the quality has become more strained in rece… t.co/29JfRhSjBW
18 hours 42 min ago.
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After I saw Liotta’s tour de force debut in “Something Wild,” I knew he would be a star. The intensity, manic energ… t.co/CQwli0X3Dd
19 hours 7 min ago.
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Great rundown of “the primary is over” debate via @s_golonka, with assists from @MichelleRindels and @RileySnyder. t.co/33w88DGjUA
21 hours 12 min ago.
The NBC/Marist poll released today shows President Obama up 3 percentage points and Sen. Dean Heller winning by the same margin.
If the screen is lifted to include registered voters, the power of the Democratic machine is evident: Obama's lead doubles and Rep. Shelley Berkley catches Heller.
Some thoughts:
It's a huge sample -- 1,253 registered voters (MOE=+/-2.8 percent) and 1,042 likely voters (MOE=+/-3.0 percent). Lots of cell phone users, too, which is a good sign.
Seventy-one percent of those surveyed said they plan to vote before Election Day. So when early voting ends a week from Friday, we will know a lot about this election -- as we always do.
President: 50-47 among likely; 51-45 among registered
U.S. Senate: 48-45 among likely; 46-46 among registered
So the higher the turnout, the better for the Democrats. And if Obama wins by 6 or so, Berkley can win.
The likely screen produced 16 percent Hispanic voters; the registered screen gave up 19 percent, which would be a record.
Party ID (and it's self ID, so beware): 39-33, D, among likely; 38-31 among registered.
Obama won the debate in a landslide among both sets of voters. But almost all voters said they had made up their minds before the debate.
Bottom line of this poll: Internals look pretty solid, but it's all about who has the best turnout model, which is why people trust Mark Mellmann after 2010 here. But it is clear from many polls -- and this one cements it -- that if Obama wins the state by 5-plus, Berkley could well oust Heller. And if it is a 5-point Obama win, we may be up very late on Nov. 6 for that Berkley-Heller battle.
Here's the full poll.
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