by Jon Ralston Sun, 10/28/2012 - 09:24
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@AnjeanetteDamon "The state also opted to allow Northshore to continue providing rapid antigen tests to the public… t.co/VKICI9gpvp
16 hours 43 min ago.
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@AnjeanetteDamon Yes, there was a holiday weekend, but the gov or anyone else did not call a presser to announce wh… t.co/mAaMu4GiEe
16 hours 44 min ago.
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@AnjeanetteDamon "NV's own internal documents, however, indicate Northshore voluntarily stopped PCR testing days be… t.co/VMwpzcM6Nk
16 hours 45 min ago.
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Not much happening in Nevada in the aftermath of this bombshell besides more probing by journos and damage control… t.co/U8L2jvEp4v
16 hours 47 min ago.
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@joeygilbertinc @NVGOP This was the local NPR affiliate, FYI.
17 hours 9 min ago.
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Have never heard this on NPR: Before it played an interview with gov hopeful @joeygilbertinc, darling of @NVGOP, th… t.co/Yqu47KsadQ
17 hours 14 min ago.
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It never ceases to amaze me how many smart people are so dumb about trans issues.
Pro tip: Try meeting trans peopl… t.co/Bx51l8PmxG
17 hours 43 min ago.
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I learned from politicians to stay on message!
And, thanks, @BerggrenCRE! t.co/uijl4oyJU5
17 hours 47 min ago.
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Veteran legislator leaves -- too familiar story for Carson City, where the quality has become more strained in rece… t.co/29JfRhSjBW
18 hours 9 min ago.
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After I saw Liotta’s tour de force debut in “Something Wild,” I knew he would be a star. The intensity, manic energ… t.co/CQwli0X3Dd
18 hours 34 min ago.
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Great rundown of “the primary is over” debate via @s_golonka, with assists from @MichelleRindels and @RileySnyder. t.co/33w88DGjUA
20 hours 38 min ago.
We've settled into a pattern now in early voting in Clark County, with the Democrats gaining about 5,000 voters a day.
The total is now at a little more than 44,000 voters over the GOP, with six days remaining. Extrapolation gets the total to 70,000-plus by the end of early vorting, which is solid but not impenetrable, and also assumes the GOP doesn't do better in Week 2 or that the Democrats don't step it up even more.
The pattern in Clark has been the Democrats do better during the first week. In the wave election of 2008, the Democrats were remarkably consistent during the second week, gaining about 5,000 voters a day until the last day, when they gained 7,000. In 2010, as they were trying to save Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, the Democrats were almost caught by the GOP on a couple of days. In '08, they led by 83,000 votes after two weeks; in 2010, it was 23,000 votes.
The current Clark early/mail numbers:
Democrats -- 135,673, or 49 percent
Republican -- 91,224, or 33 percent
Others -- 49,560, or 18 percent
So the Democrats are coming out at 3 points above their registration and the Republicans at about 2 points. If you want to know why registration leads matter, that margin tells you everything. The Republicans clearly have put more effort into early voting this cycle, but will that increase their overall turnout edge?
Overall Clark turnout in now almost a third of registered voters. If turnout is 80 percent (as it was four years ago), that means 40 percent of the vote is in.
In Washoe, the Democrats won a small victory in Washoe on Saturday (by about 160 votes out of 7,200 cast). The Democrats now lead there by about 1,200 votes (absentees have not been updated, but the GOP is ahead by a few hundred votes). The Democrats don't need to win Washoe for the president to take Nevada. But if it's close to a dead heat or they lose by a few points, the Clark County firewall should offset the rural help for Mitt Romney.
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