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WELCOME TO THE WEEKLY REPORT This week: 1. Exclusive exit poll data and analysis 2. Caucus post-mortem 3. Sandoval/SCOTUS 4. Smartest/dumbest moves of the week Smart stuff, as always, from my insiders: ►On the new Dem voters helping: A little. But Democrats should be very worried about the enthusiasm gap more than anything. Clinton is the least inspirational of anyone running and it shows. So the real question is, are those 14k new voters gonna show up in November? And this: Let’s wait to see...
Hillary Clinton crushed Bernie Sanders in Nevada's Fourth Congressional District, thus earning an extra delegate and perhaps providing a harbinger for the crowed Democratic primary in June, final caucus results show. The final numbers showed Clinton defeating Sanders by 59 percent to 41 percent in Cresent Hardy's district, a heavily Democratic area once represented by Steven Horsford. Clinton's margin there was even greater than her victory over Sanders in Dina Titus' even more Democratic...
Hillary's firewall holds or Bernie breaks through? Which storyline emerges by day's end -- assuming the caucus chaos is relatively controlled -- will depend on many factors. Caucuses open at 11, start voting at noon and results should start trickling in in early afternoon. If it's close, expect it to go later and expect questiosn to be raised by both camps about process. (This would not be pretty.) Remember Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by 5 percentage points in '08 but lost the delegate...
UPDATE, 2/19/16, 3:30 PM: So far today, the state Democratic Party, the state GOP, Harry Reid, Washoe GOP Chair Adam Khan and GOP-aligned Engage NV have all come out against any plan for Republicans to double-caucus. Secretary of State Barbara Cegavske put out a bit of a namby pamby statement that did not quite say it was illegal: In response to a number of questions received recently by the Secretary of State's office regarding the possibility of registered voters in Nevada participating in...
It won't match Trump's $400,000 buy, I'd guess, but here are the ads, airing on reality shows and talk-radio to reach Trump-friendly (for now) audiences: <
UPDATED, 2/16/16, 5 PM: Hillary Clinton is now outspending Bernie Sanders on TV in Nevada, including $1.5 million to $1 million from today through the caucus. The totals: $4 million for Clinton to $3.9 million for Sanders. The biggest spenders in the last week on the GOP side: Donald Trump has $400,000 (total of $460,000), Marco Rubio's SuperPac has $333,000 ($1 million total) and Ted Cruz's SuperPAC has $278,000 ($437,000 total) . Jeb Bush's Right to Rise has $145,000 ($700,000 total). ...
Does Hillary Clinton think Barack Obama is a "great" president? Does Bernie Sanders have any litmus tests for Surpeme Court nominees? Does Hillary Clinton disagree with the president on anything besides trade? Does Bernie Sanders think he is a one-issue candidate, as Clinton says? Both candidates sat for interviews over the weekend for "Ralston Live," both of which will air Tuesday at 5:30 in Reno and 7 in Las Vegas. Here's some of what they said -- Clinton about the Obama agenda and Sanders on...
In an interview over the weekend and to be broadcast Tuesday on "Ralston Live," Hillary Clinton scoffed at the notion, put out by her staff, that Nevada is just like nearly all-white Iowa and New Hampshire. See the clip below and watch Tuesday evening for exclusive interviews with Clinton and Bernie Sanders.
SEIU is going up Monday with Spanish-language radio and television ads in Nevada to support Hillary Clinton just days before Saturday's Democratic caucus. The union has been on the ground already in the state, claiming to have knocked on over 36,000 doors, identified more than 9,000 Clinton caucus goers and mobilized 55 precinct captains who are first-time caucusgoers. The ads, which you can see below, will air in Las Vegas, along with print ads in Spanish-language publications. One of the TV...
WELCOME TO THE WEEKLY REPORT This week: 1. Dem caucus forecasts 2. Smartest/dumbest moves of the week Just a quick post today, folks. Crazy caucusmania weekend. So some takes on next Saturday’s Democratic caucus and smartest/dumbest. Good stuff, as always, from my smart crew. ►Pretty sad: Continuing signs of the American cultural and political apocalypse...... the partisan fighting just hours after the passing of Justice Scalia. Is it any wonder Sanders, Trump and other outsiders are doing well...

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