@clintonpope @KNPRnews Damage from primary, outside money, newspaper, gut. And I said slight edge.
11 hours 30 min ago.
I know it's highly unlikely that you missed my scintillating segment this AM on @KNPRnews, but just in case, here i… t.co/lXwGI1nXPg
11 hours 40 min ago.
The national media has picked up on @SenDeanHeller's use of phony news sites, and his spokesman's explanations are… t.co/IWAS3jEgmR
12 hours 54 min ago.
I've posted the entire hour-long audio of the Heller town hall here, too. t.co/OG0tT2UkLF
13 hours 58 min ago.
Here's my post on Heller saying the Mueller probe has gone on too long, that he's glad the president walked back hi… t.co/LmBKBKSTb4
14 hours 4 min ago.
About to post on Heller's town hall comments . For those of you not yet following @TheNVIndy, I'd really appreciate it if you would.
14 hours 17 min ago.
Blog post coming. t.co/tUuMSJL0Tr
14 hours 58 min ago.
Heller in March via audio obtained by @burgessev:
"What I want is [the] Mueller investigation to continue. I don’t… t.co/4gZnGUB3DB
15 hours 6 min ago.
@SenDeanHeller Heller also was asked about Planned Parenthood (he's for fed $ so long as they don't perform abortio… t.co/d1jrCP8gxV
15 hours 12 min ago.
@SenDeanHeller Heller: "Obviously there is a difference between collusion and criminals….but I'm not about to rever… t.co/UO4SInFkMT
15 hours 19 min ago.
@SenDeanHeller Heller: "I am not opposed to (the probe). What i am opposed to is it lasting as long as it has…I thi… t.co/wvPWXCVWxB
15 hours 21 min ago.
Dean Heller would win by 1 percentage point. The president would win Nevada again. Steven Horsford would defy the polls. "Genius" is a word that is thrown around too easily these days.... In case you missed my predictions, they are here. My only real failing: I believed in the Democratic machine, but didn't realize the potency it would have down the ticket. The scorecard: President: I said 50-46. It was 52-46. That's pretty close and certainly within the margin of error. U.S. Senate: I said 49-...
I wonder, as she was riding in a gondola down the Grand Canal four years ago, perhaps gazing up at her luxury (but discounted) room, if Rep. Shelley Berkley ever thought: “This might be a problem.” I doubt it. But that congressional trip, which she led, with that ill-fated Venezia sojourn, may have cost her a chance at a U.S. Senate seat. Or not. Berkley’s campaign clearly thought this ad, which falsely implied she had charged taxpayers $55,000 for an Italian vacation with her husband, hurt her...
I tend to shy away from the “look at what we learned” thumbsuckers the day after an election. Overall themes often obscure underlying dynamics of individual races. The obvious often mashes the subtle. The results tell a story, but usually only part of it. There is a lot to say about what happened in Nevada on Tuesday – today and later – but only a few things are crystal clear: 1. Registration matters 2. The Republican Party is irrelevant 3. The Hispanic vote here is a growing and...
No human has more chutzpah than Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, and he showed it again this morning during a DC gaggle with reporters. Here is his exchange with the Las Vegas Review-Journal's capital reporter, Steve Tetreault: QUESTION: Senator Reid, how do you plan to reset your relationship with Senator Heller now that the campaign is over? And do you think the two of you can work together... REID: Dean Heller and I have been friends for 25 years. In a difficult election I had in 19...
A handy guide for Election Night: Remember 70 percent of the vote will be known very early in the evening. Although we don't yet know what Election Day turnout will be like -- I estimate about 300,000 people will vote, about two-thirds in Clark County -- we will know some thing pretty early. ----Clark: When the first early/mail results are posted (we hope, before 8 PM) of the 57 percent who have voted in the South, see if President Obama has more than a 60,000-vote lead. (Democrats have a 71,...
One of the reasons the Republicans remain optimistic about Mitt Romney winning Nevada is that they claim they have banked high-propensity voters who will swamp the Democrats on Tuesday because the opposition is turning out its inveterates and will have little left for Election Day. This always seemed odd to me for this reason: Wouldn't a lot of high-propensity voters cast ballots early because they are, you know, high-propensity voters? Truth is the Republicans may be banking on theories that...
In a poll taken over the weekend, Public Policy Polling found President Obama (4 points) and Sen. Dean Heller (2 points) with small leads in Nevada. That doesn't sound too far off, but let's take a deeper look at the poll to see what might be gleaned. Remember, this is a robopoll with self-ID by party and gender, so caveat emptor. Some thoughts: ►The survey showed 51-47 for the president and 48-46 for Heller. The partisan breakdown -- 43-38, Democrats -- is sllightly less than the 7-point...
That's what site readers say. Largest number yet answered -- almost 1,000. Thanks for participating. A new poll is up! The question: What will the president's margin of victory be in Clark County? More than 10 points 39% (375 votes) More than 15 points 34% (323 votes) Single digits 26% (245 votes) Total votes: 941
Obama will win the state, Heller will barely squeak by, Horsford takes CD4 and the GOP will take the state Senate
And I thought Reid-Angle was hard. For two years, I have rested on my laurels after ignoring the public polls, trusting my reporting and gut and predicting Harry Reid would defeat Sharron Angle. Now it’s time to once again leap into the oracular breach, with an even more difficult U.S. Senate race (yes, it’s harder to call this one based on data I have seen) and a state Senate matrix that is as blurry as can be. Before I go over my 2012 forecast, a reminder of my record, so you can judge for...
UPDATE: Statewide totals in. 700,000-plus have voted already. Doubt more than 1 million in all will vote. Democrats have a 48,000-vote lead. And the GOP only has a 1.1 percent statewide voter turnout advantage so far. The Republicans did a massive Tuesday effort for Romney to win. A remarkable effort on the last day of early voting in Clark County by the Democrats pushed their lead above the 70,000 mark while another close day in Washoe left that county essentially even. I will dive deeper into...