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Although non-partisan registration has grown in Nevada since 2008, the state's overwhelming Democratic surge has gone counter to a trend in many states. This afternnon, statistics guru Nate Silver of The New York Times put out a series of Tweets about trends in the 15 states that track voter registration every month. Most recent Tweet at top: Nate Silver @fivethirtyeight Among the swing states on that list (NV+CO+FL+IA+PA+NC): Dems +238,652 voter regs since 7/1; GOP +154,724; indies +281,825...
Three weeks from early voting, and we have a city councilman trying to affect legislative races, a Hispanic organization getting...organized, a state Senate candidate getting his own PAC and a Big Pharma group coming to Nevada: Latino BIZPAC -- After all of these years and with fewer than 40 days left until the election, theLatin Chamber of Commerce has set up a political action committee. Longtime boss Otto Merida and businessman Brian Ayala are listed on the registration form. The Silver...
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid penned a pair of op-eds in Nevada papers today -- one to go directly after Mitt Romney and the other to promote renewable energy while firing a parenthetical barb at Sen. Dean Heller. The pieces in the Sun and the Gazette-Journal are the latest examples of an aggressive partisan who seems to miss the hurly burly of the campaign season. The Sun op-ed attacks Romney over the 47 percent video and -- again -- his tax returns, saying his release of "a measly two...
UPDATED BELOW THE CHART The Huffington Post has a nice chart for Nevada (and all other states) on the presidential race since the beginning of the year. You will see that President Obama has never been behind in any public poll here. I do have a problem with any poll average because bad data pollutes it. But one argument is that there are so many polls that the bad data is diluted -- unless, of course, it's like 2010 when all of the data here indicated that Sharron Angle would defeat Harry Reid...
Republicans are planning a rally Sunday "to help (President Obama) feel less welcome" near Desert Pines High School, where the president is speaking late in the day. That's according to an email I have obtained. It's no surprise the GOP is planning such an attempt to distract the media -- and my guess is it will not be the last one of the president's three-day sojourn in Southern Nevada. Other activities to try to show Nevada still matters to the Romney campaign include Mitt's wife, Ann,...
If ever there were a time capsule dedicated to the dissipation of political discourse, Thursday evening’s Nevada U.S. Senate debate should be a featured item. The candidates showed a consistent lack of respect for the electorate, leaving one to wonder: Do the voters deserve the disdain? I worry about the answer. But I fret more about the level of the colloquy in this U.S. Senate race, which is the lowest in all of the ones I have covered since 1986. Yes, it’s worse than Harry Reid and Sharron...
The list below isn't newsworthy in and of itself -- there are few surprises. But the Culinary union, which will turn out tens of thousands of voters when early voting begins Oct. 20, will send the endorsed candidate matrix to its members, giving them time to reinforce who the leaders support. This could be a powerful tool as the election closes, and it will be interesting to match the list with who wins on Nov. 6. ---- President & Vice President / Presidente y Vicepresidente...
Debates don’t often matter much in campaigns dominated by television ads that have much greater influence. But as Dean Heller and Shelley Berkley engage in the first of their three confrontations tonight, I think they may have a large impact. Why? Because polls out this week indicate that the race is close enough that debates could turn the race one way or the other. Few voters are undecided in the contest – between five and eight percent. But they will determine the winner. These folks have...
In results sure to confuse/infuriate/thrill partisans, the fourth poll on Nevada released this week shows President Obama up by 2 points over Mitt Romney among likely voters and Sen. Dean Heller up 6 points over Rep. Shelley Berkley. The NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist survey -- I have posted the entire Nevada poll below -- also shows that among registered voters, Obama is up 7 and Heller is up 4. Registered voters can be more reliable in a presidential year when turnout is 80 percent-plus....
Tonight, from 8 PM to 9 PM, Sen. Dean Heller and Rep. Shelley Berkley will square off in their first debate on public TV, North and South. If that doesn't excite you enough, here's what to do -- take a swig of your favorite drink every time this happens: Heller says the word "ethics" Berkley says the word "Medicare" Heller says the words "Harry Reid" Berkley says the words "Big Oil" Heller says the word "corrupt" Berkley says the words "Wall Street" Heller says the words "Obamacare" and "...